The Obama fret, Round 4
Wow. The fragility of the Democratic mind is on view for all to see over the last day. McCain comes out of his convention bounce about tied in the polling, and suddenly all the rank and file Democrats are freaking out.
The NYTimes publishes an article on the Obama team actually having to work to raise money, and suddenly it's the end of the world.
Calm down.
Read the articles. Are there any quotes from Democratic insiders, even those outside the campaign, expressing any serious concern?
Calm down
Are the polling experts, Chuck Todd, Charlie Cook, Stu Rothenberg, Larry Sabato, etc, are any of them saying that the race is over?
Calm down.
Watch the body language of those around the campaigns, both inside and outside, that will tell you where everybody thinks it stands.
Do you see top level Democrats freaking out? Do you see the McCain folks acting like they're winning?
Just calm down for a little bit until we see where we really are.
(And, the LATimes has an article on the two campaigns' different looks at how to get to 270 on the electoral map.)
The NYTimes publishes an article on the Obama team actually having to work to raise money, and suddenly it's the end of the world.
Calm down.
Read the articles. Are there any quotes from Democratic insiders, even those outside the campaign, expressing any serious concern?
Calm down
Are the polling experts, Chuck Todd, Charlie Cook, Stu Rothenberg, Larry Sabato, etc, are any of them saying that the race is over?
Calm down.
Watch the body language of those around the campaigns, both inside and outside, that will tell you where everybody thinks it stands.
Do you see top level Democrats freaking out? Do you see the McCain folks acting like they're winning?
Just calm down for a little bit until we see where we really are.
(And, the LATimes has an article on the two campaigns' different looks at how to get to 270 on the electoral map.)
posted by mikevotes at
6:58 AM
4 Comments:
OK. Just for the record -- and I know you're not namin' names -- but I'm not as much of a chicken little as my rants here may indicate. LOL
Polling: It's interesting that the mere fact the McCain bounced to a tie (or a few point lead) is headline news! The fact that he broke 50% for the first time in, what, one poll... two?... This is something to brag about!?
Fundraising: What I found odd about the NYT article is that it made a big deal about the "push" for fundraising as if that hasn't been standard operating procedure for, like, A YEAR! Stop the presses! New headline: "Politician Presses Donors for Dollars!" What's next: "Obama Asks People for Their Vote. Signs of Weakness in the Campaign?"
The general election is a new fundraising ballgame, as well as being the end game push. Of course there's going to be an added urgency. What do people expect? That Obama sits back in fawning worshipers just line up spontaneously with "love offerings!?" Naw. That's that crap McCain snark of Obama being "The One."
Eight weeks from today. And the general election campaign just barely got started.
By
-epm, at 7:36 AM
Yeah, sort of. I wasn't really thinking of you specifically, I am just of the firm belief that the freak out is not good for the campaign, especially when I don't think the freak out is justified.
On the polling, I don't know, but, again, this is the polling after McCain just finished a four day ad for himself. That image will be subsumed by the rest of the campaign.
On the fundraising, yeah, that's kinda what I was after. If Obama has to spend weeks fundraising it's a big deal, but if he just slots them into his schedule, it's not that much of a difference.
(I really think this article may be a plat, trying to bring in the Clinton money and juice the small donors for an extra $20. I don't think it's a coincidence that it just happens to break at the McCain highpoint right before the Obama campaign likely announces an eye popping number.)
Certainly, you'd rather be ahead by ten wallowing in money, but, you know..... we live in the real world.
By
mikevotes, at 7:51 AM
McCain is on public financing, so he doesn't have to do fundraising (in theory). Obama still has to.
I think that is the gist of it.
Of course, McCain still has to do Party fundraising (wink, wink).
If the Clintons hadn't run up such a huge debt in the primary, they would be a formidable fundraising force. That's why I keep wondering how much money the Democratic Party itself has. It's unfair that Obama has to bear the costs of building state organisations that have much more long-term benefit to the Party and down-ticket races.
By
Todd Dugdale , at 8:53 AM
And, McCain is doing RNC fundraisers on this trip he is on.
The real public financing question is not so much the amount, but the requirements of how and where campaign money can be spent. It spreads spending more evenly across all 50 states, meaning they can't just dump it all in a couple of battlegrounds.
Certainly the RNC can do that, but the precision isn't the same.
As for the DNC, in theory, Howard Dean has already spent the money on state parties, that's one of the reasons they were so broke going into this year. He caught a lot of flack for sending money out to the states last year so they could build better statewide organizations.
That being said, yeah, you're right. Any state stuff that was done doesn't appear to have been woven into a national program.
(And, separate from anything having to do with their debt, the Clinton's would have been much better for the DNC coffers.)
By
mikevotes, at 10:14 AM
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