From the new Time poll
A new Time magazine poll has Obama 50-43, but perhaps the top story is Obama's gain (McCain's collapse) among women.
As some support, let's go back to the internals of those Q poll results. In Florida, women now back Obama 57-37, in Ohio Obama leads 53-39, in Penn. Obama leads 58-34. (In those states, McCain holds a tie to +5 among men.)
To me, if these sorts of numbers hold, they spell big trouble for McCain. It's not like McCain comes equipped with the personality, the tools, or a record to easily appeal into that demographic. (What? Is he going to go soft and fuzzy "cuddly bear" McCain? Talk about his opposition to equal pay measures or opposition to abortion?)
Palin was his flail at the demographic, and, thus far, it's failed.
Also, Pew has a poll out today, Obama 49-42. They highlight the significant collapse of Palin's numbers and effect across the board (if you want a little schadenfreude....)
(And, anecdotally, I found this discussion of Palin on "The View" interesting.)
Obama leads McCain by 17 points with women, 55%-38%. Before the conventions, women preferred Obama by a margin of 10 points, 49%-39%. After McCain picked Palin as his running mate, the gap narrowed to a virtual tie, with Obama holding a 1-point margin, 48%-47%.
As some support, let's go back to the internals of those Q poll results. In Florida, women now back Obama 57-37, in Ohio Obama leads 53-39, in Penn. Obama leads 58-34. (In those states, McCain holds a tie to +5 among men.)
To me, if these sorts of numbers hold, they spell big trouble for McCain. It's not like McCain comes equipped with the personality, the tools, or a record to easily appeal into that demographic. (What? Is he going to go soft and fuzzy "cuddly bear" McCain? Talk about his opposition to equal pay measures or opposition to abortion?)
Palin was his flail at the demographic, and, thus far, it's failed.
Also, Pew has a poll out today, Obama 49-42. They highlight the significant collapse of Palin's numbers and effect across the board (if you want a little schadenfreude....)
(And, anecdotally, I found this discussion of Palin on "The View" interesting.)
posted by mikevotes at
1:38 PM
1 Comments:
Three theories. 1) Traditionally, women vote more on economic issues.
2) McCain's "charging to Washington" for the bailout and his anger at the debates probably seemed very "male" (in the negative sense) to many women.
3) Just talking to women I know, women are much more harsh on Palin than men. They don't think her "cute" act is very cute at all.
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mikevotes, at 1:59 PM
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