Picture of the Day
(Republican presidential nominee Senator John McCain and Republican vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin take the stage at a campaign stop in Cedarburg, Wisconsin, September 5, 2008. (REUTERS/Brian Snyder))
posted by mikevotes at
6:18 AM
4 Comments:
The Republicans are far enough behind in Wisconsin that they really should abandon it. But if they wanted to make a play for it, is a very small rural town the logical venue?
By
Todd Dugdale , at 10:25 AM
They don't win the election with Wisconsin. If they win Wisconsin, they're already across the electoral line.
I think they're trying to "field test" Palin, rustbelt, Michigan, Pa, Ohio, Wis, and tne out west early in the week.
They're trying to figure out if where and how much traction she might generate.
They just don't know what here effect is, which also says something about the lateness and "gamble" of the pick.
By
mikevotes, at 10:39 AM
They don't win the election with Wisconsin. If they win Wisconsin, they're already across the electoral line.
Well, they are fighting for Minnesota, and Wisconsin looks like a better case for them than that.
They're trying to figure out if where and how much traction she might generate.
That makes a lot of sense.
But I would think that North Dakota would be a better gamble for something like that than Wisconsin. ND is considered "red", but recent polls show Obama slightly ahead there.
By
Todd Dugdale , at 12:29 PM
Minnesota's the same way. It's a reach. Those are off the second or third paths to 270.
Kinda like Indiana for the Dems. In theory they could win Indiana, but by the time they get there, they've more than likely already won Ohio.
You know. You watch this stuff. It's tough to configure a map where McCain barely wins with Wisconsin putting him over the top, just like a similar map where Obama loses Ohio and wins Indiana.
They're just the second or tier liklihoods. You don't give up on them, but if you win them, you're probably already there.
On the other hand, as you indirectly point out, McCain doesn't really have any real alternate paths. How many ND's does he have to hold onto to have any electoral vote value?
By
mikevotes, at 1:58 PM
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