Is Giuliani fading, and what does that mean for his Feb 5 strategy?
You can cherrypick polls at this point to show just about anything, but there does seem to be some national erosion in Giuliani support reflected in a number of polls. (Rasmussen's daily tracker actually shows Huckabee ahead today.)
There's alot that's going to play out in and from Iowa, NH, SC, Mich, Nevada, but if Giuliani is flagging nationally, that "wait until Florida/Feb. 5" strategy starts to look pretty dicey.
Of course, somebody has to win.
(I'm not completely sold on this Huckabee bubble. Right now, he's achieving what Thompson was supposed to do, but my sense is that as people get to know him, that momentum will fade somewhat. It's all a matter of timing.)
There's alot that's going to play out in and from Iowa, NH, SC, Mich, Nevada, but if Giuliani is flagging nationally, that "wait until Florida/Feb. 5" strategy starts to look pretty dicey.
Of course, somebody has to win.
(I'm not completely sold on this Huckabee bubble. Right now, he's achieving what Thompson was supposed to do, but my sense is that as people get to know him, that momentum will fade somewhat. It's all a matter of timing.)
posted by mikevotes at
5:22 PM
2 Comments:
are you following the story about Giuliani and his business interests in Qatar? see the Village Voice; writer named Wayne Barrett.
By
r8r, at 3:52 PM
Huckabee has gone from an 11% chance to over 18% chance to win the nomination (on the markets) just this week. Romney has dropped from 30% to 21% in the same period. Giuliani holding steady at 40%.
By
Praguetwin, at 4:23 PM
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