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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Observation on retaking Congress

With all the discussion of 2010 marking a Republican Congressional revival, has anyone else noticed that the Repubs are seeing really good candidates pass on some of those second tier opportunities?

For instance. Tommy Thompson has decided not to challenge Feingold, and it appears that rookie (and perceived target) Gillibrand may run (practically) unopposed in New York.

The Republicans are going to have lots of opportunities, Harry Reid, Blanche Lincoln, etc, but to really get the "win" they would need these second tier races, and it would seem that the best candidates doubt their ability to win these races.

Related: What's the expectation going into the 2010 election? If the Dems lose one seat is it a stinging rebuke for Obama? If the Repubs don't capture 20 new seats, is it a great failure for them? Where are the expectations set?


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