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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Friday, June 12, 2009

A word of caution on the Iranian election.

The belief Mousavi might win is partially based on the excitement and size of his rallies, but since he draws young and urban, media coverage of those rallies might be overrepresentative.

Much of Ahmadinejad's support comes from the older, the poorer, and the more rural who are less likely to come to the streets of Tehran and less likely to be picked up by the media.

I don't know what the result will be, I'm just getting this suspicious feeling about the wishful western coverage.

(Extra fact. Turnout might be 80%.)


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