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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Pulling out of states, focusing on Appalachia, and reintroducing Wright

Nate Silver has an interesting, but speculative post about a possible McCain strategy.

I'm not sure I buy it, but if you're looking for a McCain "last gasp."

(PS. Don't forget that the Obama campaign has purchased that half hour of all network primetime on the last Thursday for a potential rebuttal.)

posted by mikevotes at 8:12 AM

5 Comments:

  • I picked up on the Appalachia push... western PA, etc. This ties in with Palin's Real Ameraica, Pro-America™ tour.

    And will re-introducing Wright do anything other than feed the angry, hate-mobs? Well, it'll make McCain look small, angry, divisive and desperate... But I'm not sure how that helps him win electoral votes.

    I haven't read the linked piece yet, though.

    By Blogger -epm, at 8:53 AM  

  • And there's a real question of whether McCain wants to end on race.

    I'm still convinced that above anything else, he doesn't want high school students 100 years from now doing class projects on him as the last racist.

    I mean, that's a powerful disincentive.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:02 AM  

  • Plus, looking at the polling, I don't think it'd work.

    I think the gap is too big, the time is too late, and the opinions are too hard.

    I think the perception would be against him.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:03 AM  

  • As I mentioned in another post, there are at least three factions to this thing known as the McCain campaign: John McCain, the beltway fixers/managers, and Sarah Palin. It's not always clear who's in charge nor how's feeding what information to the press.

    If John McCain truly were a leader he'd be in charge and this would be a different campaign. A losing campaign, perhaps, but a different campaign in tone and substance. At least that what we all want to believe.

    By Blogger -epm, at 9:37 AM  

  • And, part of the problem is that as campaign's look over the abyss, different figures begin to get frustrated and pump their own messages out in conflict with each other and the overall campaign.

    (Like I believe the Rick Davis mention of Wright was.)

    Remember when this happened to the Clinton camp when you had two or three people pushing message.

    A losing campaign is chaos.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 10:54 AM  

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