The preponderance of the evidence - The really big map
If you only give Obama the states in which he hasn't lost a poll since October 1, he still gets 291 electoral votes.
McCain hasn't had one McCain + poll since....
Nv 9/29, Colo 9/14, Va 10/1, NH 9/23, NM, 9/8, Pa 4/24......
(Obama would still win even if he lost Pa, or Va + Colo, or Colo + NM +NV.....
and all of that presumes he doesn't win Fla or Ohio or Missouri or Indiana or North Carolina when he's tied or leads in all of them.)
McCain hasn't had one McCain + poll since....
Nv 9/29, Colo 9/14, Va 10/1, NH 9/23, NM, 9/8, Pa 4/24......
(Obama would still win even if he lost Pa, or Va + Colo, or Colo + NM +NV.....
and all of that presumes he doesn't win Fla or Ohio or Missouri or Indiana or North Carolina when he's tied or leads in all of them.)
posted by mikevotes at
6:22 AM
2 Comments:
At this point, Florida and Ohio are just serving as gigantic drains to siphon Republican funds and prevent them from contesting the numerous other "leaks".
The RNC just dumped a lot of money into Montana, but it's kind of late in the game for a move like that.
By
Todd Dugdale , at 9:04 AM
Definitely. Especially Fla because of the cost of all the media markets.
However, I gotta say, I really want Obama to win Florida (called early,) to put kind of a symbolic cap on the Bush years.
By
mikevotes, at 10:47 AM
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