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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

The WaPo poll

The WaPo/ABC poll seems to be getting alot of electronic ink this AM.
"Obama leads McCain by a slim 51-to-44-percent margin" (Clinton leads McCain 49-46)

"Independents will be a key voter group in the fall, and currently they split 51 percent for Obama to 42 percent for McCain." (Clinton McCain 49-46)

"Against Obama, McCain is ahead among whites without college degrees by 52 percent to 40 percent, not that different from McCain's advantage over Clinton in this new poll."

So, Obama polls a 7 point winner against McCain without "whites without college degrees," and yet all day long that's what I'm going to be hearing about.....

(83% say they're watching this race closely, 13% say they're not which would seem to indicate these numbers are a little harder than you might expect.)

Here's the WaPo's raw data page.

2 Comments:

  • And since when is a 7pt lead a "slim margin?"

    The corporate media wants drama. A horse races. So we'll hear the drama of the great racial divide (among non-college educated, white folks, probably skewed by the Appalachian region). Talk about a narrow, tailored demographic slice.... constructed purely for creating racial/class tension, er drama. And it's not like this gerrymandered demographic is even all that anti-Obama. Nearly half these people are either pro-Obama or undecided.

    It's all such manufactured rubbish. But you're right. This is all we'll hear from the professionally coiffed talking heads in the self-important echo chamber of professional punditry. Oy.

    By Blogger -epm, at 8:11 AM  

  • Especially today because of WV.

    I also think it's notable that Obama is leading outside the margin of error, with at/over 50%, and he hasn't really gotten the post nomination bump.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 8:29 AM  

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