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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Thursday, April 03, 2008

Two more PA polls

For those watching this week's rush of Pa polls, Strategic Vision has Clinton +8 (down from +18 a month ago,) and Insider Advantage reports Clinton +2.

The reality is certainly in that Clinton +8 range, but the narrowing of the gap is consistent across almost all the polls. Obama won't win Pa, but he doesn't really have to.

(PS. I think the wide range of polling results is because the agencies are tinkering with the makeup of their samples.)

Later: The expectations game has already begun. On today's conference call, "as Wolfson put it, Clinton shouldn't be held to any margin-of-victory standard on April 22."

2 Comments:

  • the goalposts were set 4 weeks ago so anything less than a 20 point loss is a victory by OB. of course msm won't remember to mention that...

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:01 PM  

  • Realisticalls, I think the goalposts for media accepted survival are probably +8 or 10.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:23 PM  

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