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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Tuesday, March 04, 2008

Early exits

ABC has a piece on the demographic (non-results) exit polling and what really jumped out at me was this.
Turnout among women looks to be up in both states in these preliminary results -- they account for about six in 10 voters in Ohio, and not quite as many in Texas, compared with 52 percent in Ohio and 53 percent in Texas in 2004.

60% women in Ohio. Wow.

Later: These "early exits" are based on voting up to a point in the day. I know this may be sexist, but would they oversample women (stay at home moms)? Anyone have any data?

PS. The bloggers looking at these same early exits characterize "basically dead even in Texas, Ohio and Rhode Island." (TPM, Drudge)

Or, maybe you prefer this characterization, "The Clinton campaign, having recieved leaked exit polls showing slim leads in both Texas and Ohio...."

(I think we can read into both of these that there will be no big delegate gain.)

I'm offline for awhile. Dinner and a caucus.

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