We'll he does have something to worry about, but generally speaking you're right.
I think, like all the GOP candidates, he has a ceiling of support. His is among evangelicals who will not vote for him partially because he's Mormon, and partially because of his position flips.
In Iowa that ceiling's lower because of the oversized evangelical turnout.
The GOP caucus had all their precincts going into one room. That room was right outside my precinct. I'm not trying to be a condescending jerk but most of the GOP members that I saw going in were urban, poor, fundamentalists.
The majority of dems in my precinct were urban, middle class to wealthy, mainstream protestants and a handful of catholics. The Dems seem to be more of a 'big tent' party.
Besides the sign-in table the biggest most active areas were the legion of people changing party affiliation to Dem for the caucus.
It truly was a historic night. I'm glad to have been a part of it and I appreciate having a great blog to be able to share my experience with.
I appreciate you coming in. Being outside, it's difficult to get a feel for what's going on.
As for your observations, they seem to match the broader statistics. A big shift of independents into the Dem caucuses, Clinton and Obama polling well among the well off, and Huckabee pulling the fundies.
And, no matter what happens, you have already been a part of history. Even if he completely implodes, Obama winning will be talked about for decades. I know that's not where you went, but you were there when it happened and were part of it.
This is not the America I was brought up to believe in.
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4 Comments:
$17 million of my own money and I get second!!! You don't want to see me when I'm angry!
He needs to remember that Iowa GOP picked Pat Robertson in '88. He's got nothing to worry about.
By matt, at 8:46 AM
We'll he does have something to worry about, but generally speaking you're right.
I think, like all the GOP candidates, he has a ceiling of support. His is among evangelicals who will not vote for him partially because he's Mormon, and partially because of his position flips.
In Iowa that ceiling's lower because of the oversized evangelical turnout.
By mikevotes, at 8:51 AM
The GOP caucus had all their precincts going into one room. That room was right outside my precinct. I'm not trying to be a condescending jerk but most of the GOP members that I saw going in were urban, poor, fundamentalists.
The majority of dems in my precinct were urban, middle class to wealthy, mainstream protestants and a handful of catholics. The Dems seem to be more of a 'big tent' party.
Besides the sign-in table the biggest most active areas were the legion of people changing party affiliation to Dem for the caucus.
It truly was a historic night. I'm glad to have been a part of it and I appreciate having a great blog to be able to share my experience with.
By matt, at 9:25 AM
I appreciate you coming in. Being outside, it's difficult to get a feel for what's going on.
As for your observations, they seem to match the broader statistics. A big shift of independents into the Dem caucuses, Clinton and Obama polling well among the well off, and Huckabee pulling the fundies.
And, no matter what happens, you have already been a part of history. Even if he completely implodes, Obama winning will be talked about for decades. I know that's not where you went, but you were there when it happened and were part of it.
That's pretty cool.
By mikevotes, at 11:07 AM
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