Questions on polling, immigration, and legacy
Is this new NBC/WSJ poll showing Bush at 29% approval a "shock value" outlier or part of a broader trend? Over the last few weeks, the Bush approval number has been hitting new lows in several polls, but I don't have a sense whether this is the normal ebb and ebb of the Bush presidency or part of something larger.
For almost a year, Bush approval has been dancing around in the 30's, sustained almost entirely by self identified Republican support. I have been watching for an erosion in that support because of Bush's immigration proposal. As yet, that hasn't really happened.
Are these latest polls beginning to show Bush losing Republicans over immigration? Will that be a substantial loss?
(And, maybe we should question the political decision of this White House to chase its version of immigration reform at all. The political upside is almost entirely related to "legacy," while the downsides are all likely to be felt over the next 18 months.
They're risking/losing what little support and influence Bush has among Congressional Republicans which effects not only legislative items, but also the defensive oversight measures like fighting subpoenas and investigations.
In this gamble for immigration, they've risked not only the domestic agenda part of the Bush legacy, but also ceded alot of ground to the Congressional Dems who will now play a much larger "oversight" role in defining the history and actions of the Bush presidency.)
Last: I maintain that a President's legacy is primarily written by his defenders and loyalists. as they're the ones that fill the media with positive recollections of a president, reframing his specific actions and intiatived to construct a broader theme of a presidency.
Will this perceived "betrayal" on immigration stay with them? Will it diminish their passion as they try to reframe Iraq as courageous a decade from now?
Maybe I'm reading too much into the current passionate resistance to Bush's immigration proposal, I don't know, but reading the comments and opinions of the rank and file, I find it hard to believe this will be forgotten.
For almost a year, Bush approval has been dancing around in the 30's, sustained almost entirely by self identified Republican support. I have been watching for an erosion in that support because of Bush's immigration proposal. As yet, that hasn't really happened.
Are these latest polls beginning to show Bush losing Republicans over immigration? Will that be a substantial loss?
(And, maybe we should question the political decision of this White House to chase its version of immigration reform at all. The political upside is almost entirely related to "legacy," while the downsides are all likely to be felt over the next 18 months.
They're risking/losing what little support and influence Bush has among Congressional Republicans which effects not only legislative items, but also the defensive oversight measures like fighting subpoenas and investigations.
In this gamble for immigration, they've risked not only the domestic agenda part of the Bush legacy, but also ceded alot of ground to the Congressional Dems who will now play a much larger "oversight" role in defining the history and actions of the Bush presidency.)
Last: I maintain that a President's legacy is primarily written by his defenders and loyalists. as they're the ones that fill the media with positive recollections of a president, reframing his specific actions and intiatived to construct a broader theme of a presidency.
Will this perceived "betrayal" on immigration stay with them? Will it diminish their passion as they try to reframe Iraq as courageous a decade from now?
Maybe I'm reading too much into the current passionate resistance to Bush's immigration proposal, I don't know, but reading the comments and opinions of the rank and file, I find it hard to believe this will be forgotten.
posted by mikevotes at
7:48 AM
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