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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Saturday, September 09, 2006

Chafee, Laffey, Bolton, and Rhode Island

The vote on the Bolton nomination was "delayed" this week. Lincoln Chafee was the primary block. The situation was so dire that there were rumors that Bolton's confirmation was all but dead.

So, when I read this today, I thought there might be a connection between the Bolton delay and the sudden flood of pro-Chafee politics in Rhode Island.
With a barrage of television advertisements and the mobilization of its get-out-the-vote machine, the national Republican Party has lined up to beat back a conservative primary challenge to the most liberal Republican in the Senate, Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island. The outcome on Tuesday could help determine whether Democrats have a shot at taking back the Senate.

In an extraordinary pre-emptive announcement, the National Republican Senatorial Committee has said it will concede Rhode Island to the Democrats should Stephen Laffey, the mayor of Cranston, defeat Mr. Chafee in the primary.

How much you want to bet Chafee's objections against Bolton disappear? Conveniently, the holdup to the Bolton nomination is expected to last into early this week (through the Sept 12. primary.)

(Remember that Chafee needed something desperate. In the last independent polling I saw, (Aug 1) Chafee 34%, Laffey 51%. This was followed the same day by an "internal" NSRC poll showing Chafee up 51%- 34%.)

Now, there's a pushpoll "against" Chafee with graphic descriptions of partial birth abortions. Funny thing though, the Laffey camp claims it's not theirs and is being put out to make them look bad.

The dirt and dirty tricks are flying in Rhode Island, and that means that the National Republican Party can't be far away. So, did Chafee hold up the Republican party over Bolton? I don't know, but there's alot of smoke for a small state primary.

2 Comments:

  • VandeHei article in tomorrow's Post says the NRCC plans to use 90% of its funds for a 60 day negative ad blitz. Republicans think negative ads + base tyurnout will limit losses in the House to 6-10 seats and 3 seats in the Senate.

    90% of their money on negative ads.

    So much for being the positive party that offers to solutions.

    By Blogger Reality-Based Educator, at 9:56 PM  

  • I saw it. Are you surprised?

    The Republicans go negative even when they're ahead, although the 90% number is pretty darn high.

    The interesting part to me will be where they pour their money, what TV markets. At 2 months before the election, they will have to commit, (and again at 30 days)and that should give a really interesting picture of how they see the election.

    Also, this is sourced to the Republicans, so take it with a grain of salt. Threats of negative ads force Dem candidates to hold off their spending to marshall money in case they need it. (Forces them to hold off spending right in the middle of this Republican terror drive.)

    This time of year I'm always automatically suspicious of anything sourced to either campaign.

    Mike

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 7:13 AM  

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