Who is winning the politics of the oil spill?

Democrats would seem to be winning the initial spin phase of the oil spill, with a top AP headline this morning like this: Emerging oil rig evidence shows lack of regulation. (which I would argue cuts strongly against no regulations Republicans.)

And the polling seems to say it's a net neutral at worst, splitting along partisan lines.

However, I wonder how it's going to spin out when we start to see weeks of front page pictures as the spill comes to land. Even if people don't directly blame Obama, a general dismay will tend to land on the party in charge through a borad right track/wrong track dissatisfaction.

Later: Will "punishing" BP and other oil companies with a new cleanup tax spin well for the Dems?