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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Tuesday, November 03, 2009


...because Republicans in governorships in Virginia and New Jersey will mean such a shift in the governance of our country.....


  • Because having a Republican governor of Virginia is such a weird idea... I mean a Republican? In Virginia? Whoda thunk.

    And I actually heard a Republican comment that a Hoffman win in the NY-23 open seat would be a Republican "pick up." Ignoring the fact that it was just vacated by a Repub. and that a Dem hasn't won the seat since (before?) the Civil War.

    By Blogger -epm, at 7:32 AM  

  • Right.

    And, Even when Hoffman was pulling off 15%, the Republican was still expected to win.

    New York is controlled by the Dems, and this is one of those out party districts where the party in power dumps all the opposition party voters so the districts next to it can be made competitive.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 7:55 AM  

  • I know you're not a DKos fan (and even I can only take it in limited exposures), but Jed Lewison has an interesting point regarding NY-23. In the past 27 years no Democrat rep candidate has broken 38%.

    It'll be interesting, as a point of trivia, to see what Owens pulls in. To me, if he breaks 40% that would be a slight repudiation of the Teabagers... by this district's standards. And an Owens win? Wow.

    Interesting observation on the "news" coverage of this contest: all the talk has been around Szozzafava and Hoffman. Owens' name is rarely, if ever, mentioned. If nothing else this has been a huge free-media coup for Hoffman... at least in terms of name recognition. And for Owens? Not so much.

    By Blogger -epm, at 10:09 AM  

  • Oh, Jeds' not bad at all, and I don't know if they're still there, but Georgia was excellent. I just get tired of the Kos hyperpartisan. I also tend to prefer short posts heavy on links, and that's not the Kos style.

    As to the NY-23, I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a Dem peak, not only because of all the shennanigans between the Repubs, but also because of a sense of all these outsiders coming in to tramp on their election. Plus, you gotta figure turnout will be high, and that means the more dedicated further fringes will be proportionally a litle smaller.

    Regarding media coverge, everybody in the district must know with all the press attention. And Owens, even if he would win through all this mess, will be out again in two years.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 10:28 AM  

  • Yeah. I guess my comment on press coverage is more pertinent to the non-local audience. I've gotta figure the local TV market must be SATURATED to the point of nausea by political ads.

    Talk about an over exposed race with hyper-inflated importance! God...

    By Blogger -epm, at 10:37 AM  

  • Yup. This thing is only getting press because the press is loving the Republican catfight narrative, and all the GOP power players are trying to score points with it.

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 10:40 AM  

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