Khamenei responds as the conflict keeps brewing
Over the weekend, the three main opponents of Khamenei (Rafsanjani, Khatami, and Moussavi) all made significant speeches or statements against the current government.
Khamenei responded harder than usual,"The elite should be watchful, since they have been faced with a big test. Failing the test will cause their collapse..."
I don't have a good look into the political backrooms where this struggle is currently playing out, but my sense is that the "reformers" might well be winning. (...although I'm not sure by what mechanism they would actually wrest control.)
The NYTimes has a piece today highlighting the jack boot of the Revolutionary Guard, but if you'll notice, Khamenei and Ahmadinejad have gone to great lengths to keep the regular army out of this. There are some signs that they might be split, and possibly in support of the "reformers."
This thing is still very alive even though most of the media has moved on. At this point, Khamenei has been seriously delegitimized and Ahmadinejad has been turned into a lap dog/joke. The question is the next step. Where does the momentum go?
Khamenei responded harder than usual,"The elite should be watchful, since they have been faced with a big test. Failing the test will cause their collapse..."
I don't have a good look into the political backrooms where this struggle is currently playing out, but my sense is that the "reformers" might well be winning. (...although I'm not sure by what mechanism they would actually wrest control.)
The NYTimes has a piece today highlighting the jack boot of the Revolutionary Guard, but if you'll notice, Khamenei and Ahmadinejad have gone to great lengths to keep the regular army out of this. There are some signs that they might be split, and possibly in support of the "reformers."
This thing is still very alive even though most of the media has moved on. At this point, Khamenei has been seriously delegitimized and Ahmadinejad has been turned into a lap dog/joke. The question is the next step. Where does the momentum go?
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