Unbelievable from Georgia
In 2004, 3.25 million people in Georgia cast votes for President.
This year, the Sec State is estimating that 2 million Georgians will have voted early. Almost 2/3 of the 2004 turnout has voted early.
This year, the Sec State is estimating that 2 million Georgians will have voted early. Almost 2/3 of the 2004 turnout has voted early.
posted by mikevotes at
11:46 AM
4 Comments:
If Georgia goes to Obama, PA won't do McCain any good.
Generally, a heavy turnout is a good sign for Democrats, and the question was always whether the AA voters would turn out or not. It appears that they are.
As with all of these states, the foundation is there for the future due to the huge amount of voter data that has been collected. Hundreds of thousands of Georgians will discover that voting for a Democrat does not automatically usher in the End Times, and their susceptibility to GOP propaganda is greatly diminished. And all of these people will be targets for the mid-terms, so that campaigns can spend their money going after likely voters. It's a domino effect.
This is how the stranglehold of the GOP will be broken in several red states, that were only red because the Democrats never made a serious play for them since the '60s.
Hopefully the Democrats will make follow-up efforts post-election to identify actual voters and reliable supporters, and make the database even more valuable. All of the data from 2004 just disappeared, but this data is even more valuable in the long-term.
By
Todd Dugdale , at 2:09 PM
Oh man, are they ever turning out, especially in traditional south. We've seen some ridiculous numbers out of Georgia, NC, and SC.(Hoping it extends to Florida.)
And, I'm still a little skeptical at this point of projecting too much of this forward.
I think if they get big youth vote it will carry and stay Dem, that's been the pattern for decades and decades, but alot of the 30-50 voters may just cross over for an election or two.
One of the real curiosities is whether all these folks turning out for Obama will feel their power as so many local races shift.
By
mikevotes, at 2:17 PM
from fivethirtyeight.com comments:
Turn out Demographics:
Black Female
439,434
Black Male
260,432
White Female
666,827
White Male
534,174
Asia-PI Female
6,370
Asia-PI Male
5,007
Hisp-Lt Female
8,504
Hisp-Lt Male
6,214
Native AM Female
159
Native AM Male
137
Other
67,372
Total
1,994,990
23% of early voters self-identify as AA in GA. The Obama base again seems to be turning out early.
By
Todd Dugdale , at 2:47 PM
I don't know what that's built off of, but I thought saw a far higher number in one of these articles on AA in Ga. something like 30%.
Voting Rights act, so race is tracked by the Sec State. Should be posted by tonight, tomorrow.
(I might be confusing some of the NC numbers, too.)
By
mikevotes, at 3:49 PM
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