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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

White women

Everybody always talks about Obama's "black vote" primarily because of the overwhelming disparity in support, but Clinton's key demo, Democratically registered white women has really played a bigger role in the numbers.
Per the exit polls, 47% of the Pennsylvania Democratic electorate last night was made up of white women, higher than any other race/gender subgroup. Clinton ended up winning them by more than 30 points, 66%-34%.

Think about that. Assuming the rest of the electorate splits down the middle 50/50, Clinton wins Pa with a +15 overall advantage coming from this one group alone.

That's not to discount these voters, but, as a point of analysis, it's interesting.

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