Sabato sees the Dems taking it, too
Larry Sabato puts his predictions down. Dems +23-30 seats in the House and, more surprisingly, +6 retaking control of the Senate.
If you're keeping score, the House prediction seems pretty much in line with everyone else, but I think this is the only "Dems take the Senate" prediction I've seen from a neutral.
Consensus seems to be Dems +18-30 and +4-5 in the Senate.
If you're keeping score, the House prediction seems pretty much in line with everyone else, but I think this is the only "Dems take the Senate" prediction I've seen from a neutral.
Consensus seems to be Dems +18-30 and +4-5 in the Senate.
posted by mikevotes at
11:25 AM
2 Comments:
Barring fraud, Dems are poised to take 6 from what I've seen in recent polls. Something happened in Tennessee. It's not looking good for Ford all of a sudden. And it really is all of a sudden, but I guess the trade there is Virginia.
By
Chuck, at 7:19 PM
I think Missouri is a pure tossup, too. That one will be all turnout. It looks like the Republicans are set to turn out just a little better, but you would expect the undecideds to break for the challenger, so.....
Ford was always a longer shot than the polls showed because of his race. I hate to say it, but the polling probably didn't reflect all the people who would vote against him for that. On the plus side, a large part of his voter base is motivated whereas Corker's isn't. Again, turnout can erase polling gaps.
And Webb does seem to be edging Allen after all the dirt thrown at him, and the rumor is that Allen has almost run out of money. So I don't know.
Assuming Burns Tester stays Tester, The Dems have to win two close ones without losing either. That's a tough ask.
Mike
By
mikevotes, at 8:50 PM
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