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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Monday, October 30, 2006

Final predictions from Charlie Cook and CQ.

In a hurry, I may rewrite this later.

CQ predictions: Overall and links for House, Senate.

Charlie Cook: Dems + 20-35 seats (maybe more.) +4-6 Senate.
(Cook has been working on the "blue wave theory.")

Later: Polls, Polls, Polls.

posted by mikevotes at 7:01 PM

2 Comments:

  • Majority Watch has Dems with 240 seats in the House, Repubs 193, 2 ties - Kos thinks that's a little optimistic and says the polling firm is untested.

    I can't believe Dems take more than 18-24 (essentially Rothenberg's pick for them) but I have to say the Majority Watch numbers gave me just a little pause.

    Also, did you see that Rasmussen has Webb over Allen 48%-46, 51%-46% when leaners are added?

    And Pat Buchanan said on Hardball that's he hearing that both Ford and Webb have caught up and put the Senate back in play. Buchanan said if the vote were today, he thinks Dems would take both chambers.

    Yikes. I can't wait for this thing to end.

    By Blogger Reality-Based Educator, at 8:01 PM  

  • The consensus I've gathered watching all the experts is that 18-25 number, but they all seem to leave open an upside possibility.

    I finally saw that Harball, too. The LV number trending Dem is a huge deal. That hasn't been the case in forever.

    And, earlier I had pooh poohed some of the party polling, but I'll certainly buy Rasmussen. And, I am surprised that Webb Ford have caght up.

    Mike

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 9:02 PM  

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