In whose self interest is peace in Iraq?
Off the cuff, which of the combatant groups in Iraq see "peace" as in their own self interest. Definitely the Kurds(for now,) maybe SCIRI, but Sadr, the Sunni insurgency, or the foreign fighters?
If Sadr seriously makes moves to abandon violence, he will drift towards the irrelevance of Sistani and his militia will likely fracture and reform under new leadership. The Sunni insurgency is fighting for their political and economic survival. The foreign fighters are fighting what they perceive as a Jihad.
Their self interest is to continue fighting. What is being offered to them to change their self interest?
(SCIRI is not in the main of the fight right now becaue their needs are being met through their use of the Iraqi Police as their forces.)
If Sadr seriously makes moves to abandon violence, he will drift towards the irrelevance of Sistani and his militia will likely fracture and reform under new leadership. The Sunni insurgency is fighting for their political and economic survival. The foreign fighters are fighting what they perceive as a Jihad.
Their self interest is to continue fighting. What is being offered to them to change their self interest?
(SCIRI is not in the main of the fight right now becaue their needs are being met through their use of the Iraqi Police as their forces.)
posted by mikevotes at
1:46 PM
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