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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Sunday, September 03, 2006

Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee will decide control of the Senate.

The rumor/gossip that I've seen says that the GOP efforts to maintain control over the Senate will be focused mainly on Ohio, Missouri, and Tennessee. The way the landscape looks, without surprises, whichever party wins two of those three will probably have control of the Senate come 2007.

The rumor is that they are preparing to pour big money into these races. So, if you're counting Senate seats, watch these three. All three are polling tight right now.

Missouri - Republican incumbent Talent trails McCaskill inside the margin of error. (Talent +6 in likely voters (?) Gallup)

Ohio - Repub incumbent Mike Dewine trails Sherrod Brown.

Tennessee - (Frist's open seat) Ford/Corker effectively tied.

Both Missouri and Ohio have seen recent movement towards the Republicans while Harold Ford in Tennessee has been closing a huge gap over the last few months.

Montana is a fourth Dem pickup possibility, Repub incumbent Conrad Burns trails Tester by a few points, and another possibility is Webb polling ahead of Allen in Virginia.

(Forgive the lack of organization. As I do more of these polling posts, I'm sure they will tighten up.)

AND, I don't know what to make of the "Hillary giving up her presidential run for Senate Majority Leader" rumor. It's been floating around for awhile although it has been roundly denied by all involved. My hunch is it's politics, nothing more.

2 Comments:

  • It's a better place for the country to have her.

    By Blogger Lew Scannon, at 4:13 PM  

  • I'm kinda of that belief. I think she's a really good Senator, and would probably be a very agile majority leader, although her recent history tells me she might be too willing to deal.

    I think she would make a good president as well, assuming somehow she could escape all the hostility that's out there against her which I don't think she can.

    If she's out, who's the nominee? Mr. Weird Eyebrows? Edwards maybe?

    Biden?

    Gore and Feingold both tested the waters and seem to have backed off. Who's left?

    Mike

    By Blogger mikevotes, at 5:10 PM  

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