Two articles on the Democratic Wave
First, Chris Cilizza, the WaPo's Politics blogger.
Second, and I think more tellingly, the WaPo is reporting that "Washington lobbying firms, trade associations and corporate offices are moving to hire more well-connected Democrats."
Again, still a long, long way away, but you'd far rather have the wind at your back than not.
Later: As an addition to the political tea leaf reading, Reality Based Educator pointed towards today's Broder editorial in the comments. I'm not a huge editorial fan, but Broder, more than anyone else, reflects the conventional wisdom.
So is now the time to conclude that a Democratic wave is building that will sweep Republicans out of a House majority in November?The answer, according to Charlie Cook and Stu Rothenberg, is a guarded yes.
Second, and I think more tellingly, the WaPo is reporting that "Washington lobbying firms, trade associations and corporate offices are moving to hire more well-connected Democrats."
Again, still a long, long way away, but you'd far rather have the wind at your back than not.
Later: As an addition to the political tea leaf reading, Reality Based Educator pointed towards today's Broder editorial in the comments. I'm not a huge editorial fan, but Broder, more than anyone else, reflects the conventional wisdom.
2 Comments:
Also the Broder column about how disheartened Midwestern Republicans are, especially in ohio, and Dan Balz's "bellwether" piece that says last week's terror arrests have had little to no lasting impact on the parameters of the midterms (i.e., still heading away from GOP.)
Couple that with the Times article declaring the violence in iraq now at its highest rate of the war, the tanking housing market, higher inflation (the Post has a piece about how consumers buying power has been completely eaten away by inflation over the last year), and a slowing economy and you have the seeds for a Cetegory 5 Political Storm (barring some unforseen major incident, of course.)
Yes, still a long way off. But as a long way off gets closer and closer, the generic polls showing Dems in the lead get larger. A good place to be 80+ days out and a frustrating place for Rove, Mehlman and all those House and Senate GOPers. How'd you like to be one of them and know that the terror alert shit doesn't work anymore? I bet they're really, really fucking scared. All they have left is the Iran attack, Diebold and perhaps the hope of a really bad storm that Bush can be all over to try and salvage these elections.
By Reality-Based Educator, at 12:21 AM
You said it so very well. Much better than I did.
I would just add one thing:
With the prospect of investigations and hearings into the many Bush misdeeds, mistakes, and lies you can expect a few blind roundhouse swings as the fighter goes down.
They still have the advantage of being able to create news, the ability to completely change the topic. (See the bomb iran contest.) An October surprise of some kind is well within character, even if it's just a shift in the debate to a nasty racist anti-immigration debate.
That's why I'm hesitant to mark it as more than a tailwind at this point.
Mike
By mikevotes, at 7:15 AM
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