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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

And we're all gonna die.

NYTimes reminds us that global warming is coming, Big Time.

(sorry, I liked the Cheney pun there.)

If emissions of heat-trapping gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere at the current rate, there may be many centuries of warming and a near-total loss of Arctic tundra, according to a new climate study. ....

Consistent with many other studies, the model showed that the Arctic would see the most warming, with average annual temperatures in many parts of Arctic Russia and northern North America rising more than 25 degrees Fahrenheit around 2100.

And just as a point, this simulation appears to have only taken account of man made elements to global warming, not the terrifying feedback loops that seem to be setting up.

The world's largest frozen peat bog is melting, which could speed the rate of global warming, New Scientist reports. ..... The area, which is the size of France and Germany combined, could release billions of tonnes of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. This could potentially act as a tipping point, causing global warming to snowball, scientists fear.

or, maybe, this....

The floating cap of sea ice on the Arctic Ocean shrank this summer to what is probably its smallest size in at least a century of record keeping, continuing a trend toward less summer ice, a team of climate experts reported yesterday. .......

The change also appears to be headed toward becoming self-sustaining: the increased open water absorbs solar energy that would otherwise be reflected back into space by bright white ice, said Ted A. Scambos, a scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., which compiled the data along with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.

"Feedbacks in the system are starting to take hold," Dr. Scambos said.


There're more of these theoretical feedback loops, but these are just the two I had handy.

Big Time.

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