On "vetting"
I woke up this morning thinking about the Clinton campaign's claims that they're helping Obama by "vetting" him now.
Maybe, but I also see the very real possibility that they're souring his introduction to voters. Obama is still a fairly unknown to alot of voters, and stressing all his negatives now "introduces" him as those negatives.
Yes, the Republicans will definitely hit all the same points, but it's a big difference as to whether that's a voter's first impression or something laid on top of an image the Obama campaign got out there first.
For instance, look at John McCain. He's able to walk around and talk about the issues he wants, setting the tone and impression of his character, and his positives are going up.
It would all be very different if there was a realistic way she could win the nomination.
(The bar for survival seems to be a "double digit" win in Pa.)
Maybe, but I also see the very real possibility that they're souring his introduction to voters. Obama is still a fairly unknown to alot of voters, and stressing all his negatives now "introduces" him as those negatives.
Yes, the Republicans will definitely hit all the same points, but it's a big difference as to whether that's a voter's first impression or something laid on top of an image the Obama campaign got out there first.
For instance, look at John McCain. He's able to walk around and talk about the issues he wants, setting the tone and impression of his character, and his positives are going up.
It would all be very different if there was a realistic way she could win the nomination.
(The bar for survival seems to be a "double digit" win in Pa.)
posted by mikevotes at
7:23 AM
2 Comments:
It would all be very different if there was a realistic way she could win the nomination.
Current market numbers on a $1 contract:
Obama 83.5 cents
Clinton 13.6 cents
Gore 3.6 cents
Edwards .2 cents
By
Praguetwin, at 1:14 PM
Yeah. Her only real shot is if they find him kicking babies.
If you look at the 250+ uncommitted superdelegates, something like 84 are add ons which are likely to break at least 50 50 if not more towards Obama. That means she has to make up a difference of a hundred pledged delegates out of 190 or so supers.
That's not going to happen unless you get in such a situation so bad that superdelegates who are already committed to Obama decide, in numbers, to switch to Clinton.
It would take a bombshell of a magnitude that there would be no real question.
(And I'm always a little skeptical on the political markets. They're really small.)
By
mikevotes, at 1:56 PM
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