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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

The bottom line......

Two polls released tonight NBC/WSJ and NYTimes/CBS both show a much more muddled picture in the Obama/Clinton polling (separate, of course, from any delegate counts,) but what really caught my eye was the relatively horrible polling for McCain.

McCain has now had almost two months of an unchallenged field, has spent months trying to define himself and his biography, all the while the Dems have been beating each other to death, and after all that, he still polls slightly behind/about even with them both.
(NBC) Obama besting McCain by only three points (46-43 percent) and Clinton topping the Arizona senator by only one (45-44 percent)

(NYTimes) In a head-to-head race between Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain, both candidates are backed by 45 percent of the registered voters. In a race between Mrs. Clinton and Mr. McCain, 48 percent back Mrs. Clinton and 43 percent support Mr. McCain.

On the plus side for McCain, he is polling better than the generic Republican/Democrat matchup by over 10 points, but that will probably realign somewhat once a Dem nominee is finalized. (A post-nomination bump.)

Later: (DKos) More people are concerned about McCain's ties to Bush (43%) than Obama's ties to Wright (32%).

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