Brace yourself

The Iraqi Interior Ministry released their civilian casualty number for November, 1,850, a rise of 44%, but, generally, the more accepted number has been the UN number which came in at about 3,700 in October.

Assuming the extrapolation holds, the UN number would be somewhere around 5,320 in November or about 177 a day.
(And do I need to add "at least"?)