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Born at the Crest of the Empire

Sunday, July 31, 2005

Say a little prayer.

This has gone pretty much under the radar here, but it's pretty awful.

"

Torrential rain lashed Mumbai again, disrupting flights, hampering rescue efforts and bringing more misery as the death toll from the heaviest downpours in the Indian city's history neared 1,000.

Authorities issued new flood alerts and appealed to residents to stay indoors as the Mumbai Meteorological Department predicted "heavy rainfall" in the next 48 hours in Maharashtra and adjoining states.

The city's low-lying suburbs were again flooded knee-deep as police urged people not to travel on certain routes and rail services were disrupted or cancelled. Many trees were uprooted across the city.

"

Living on the gulf coast and having been through something similar but on a much smaller scale, I cannot describe the total helplessness and isolation you feel as you watch the water rise unstoppable. I can't imagine what this must be like. I read where they got 37 inches in a day in some places. Truly horrible.

Also, I don't know about the science of this, but I include it here simply for context. It's gonna get worse, there, here, everywhere before it doesn't get better. From what I understand of the topic, this would be early to be able to detect significant shifts; the general trend would probably be true, but it would be nearly impossible to separate from statistical variation.

So, grain of salt for the headline making researcher looking for grant money.

Study: Warming Is Intensifying Hurricanes

By JOSEPH B.VERRENGIA, AP Science Writer2 hours, 39 minutes ago

Is global warming making hurricanes more ferocious? New research suggests the answer is yes. Scientists call the findings both surprising and "alarming" because they suggest global warming is influencing storms now — rather than in the distant future. .......

But some scientists questioned Emanuel's methods. For example, the MIT researcher did not consider wind speed information from some powerful storms in the 1950s and 1960s because the details of those storms are inconsistent.

Researchers are using new methods to analyze those storms and others going back as far as 1851. If early storms turn out to be more powerful than originally thought, Emmanuel's findings on global warming's influence on recent tropical storms might not hold up, they said.

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